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Why
Australia must stay with the Kyoto Protocol process
of
global climate change negotiations
and not follow the US
- It has
taken 10 years to reach this point - the process began in
Rio at the Earth Summit in 1992 - and if this is abandoned
now it will, arguably, take another decade to get to where
we are now. Even then, many of the same difficult issues
will arise and will have to be negotiated. In fact, the targets
will be greater because, without the controls being sought
through the Kyoto Protocol, the levels of greenhouse gas
emissions will have increased.
The
problem is a global one and must be addressed with the support
of the global community. It is not sufficient to make the
reduction of greenhouse gas emissions voluntary as this would
weaken the effectiveness of any action. By far, the best
way to get a strong and credible global strategy to address
climate change is to make action binding on countries via
an enforceable international Kyoto Protocol.
- The
science of climate change is highly reputable despite the
questions raised by George W Bush and others about this.
The UN's Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
consists of the world's most reputable climatologists and
others who would not place their reputations at risk by producing
'dodgy' scientific research. As recently as 7 June 2001,
a panel
of top US scientists declared that global warming was a real
problem and was getting worse. Here, in Australia, the CSIRO
has recently predicted a six percent increase in average
temperatures by 2070.
If
there is even a slight doubt about the science, the overwhelming
evidence would suggest that we invoke the "precautionary" principle
and take action until such time as we can be absolutely
certain that the growth in greenhouse gas emissions is
no long-term risk to the Earth community. This means
that Australia should stay with the Kyoto process until,
if ever, the current science is found to be wanting.
11
July 2001
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